Janez Janša

Prime Minister — Slovenia

Country momentum 0 — Quarterly momentum: the Bureau's read on the country's trajectory over the last quarter, from −10 (deteriorating fast) to +10 (accelerating).

• Returned to power and immediately benefited from an upgraded outlook: the IMAD autumn forecast sees 3.8% growth in 2026, up from 2% in spring. The economy handed him a tailwind.
• IMAD's autumn forecast sees 3.8% growth in 2026 — nearly double the spring estimate — on investment and consumption. Inflation is 3.1%.
• A polarising but electorally vindicated return. The test is whether the fourth term governs or settles scores — the media file will tell.
• NATO, EU and eurozone member. The Israel file is the one alliance-adjacent controversy of the new term.