Emmanuel Macron

President — France

Country momentum -3 — Quarterly momentum: the Bureau's read on the country's trajectory over the last quarter, from −10 (deteriorating fast) to +10 (accelerating).

• France's lame-duck president: a nuclear power and EU pillar abroad, authority spent at home.
• The EPR2 nuclear new-build — six reactors — is the generational bet; the Grand Paris Express continues.
• France's nuclear deterrent is now offered as a European asset; alliance weight undiminished.
• Leaves the public finances in their worst shape in decades — the hard charge against the record.