Skip to main content
The Wire

The smooth operator meets his receipts: Rwanda took the Grand Prix, VAR slipped to 2027

Gayton McKenzie built his ministry on big announcements — a South African Grand Prix, video referees by April 2025. Within 48 hours in October, Rwanda took the race and his own football association pushed VAR to 2027 trials. The minister insists he has not been beaten. The dates tell their own story.

The summary

Gayton McKenzie built his ministry on big announcements — a South African Grand Prix, video referees by April 2025. Within 48 hours in October, Rwanda took the race and his own football association pushed VAR to 2027 trials. The minister insists he has not been beaten. The dates tell their own story. Formula One and Rwanda announced a 10-year deal on 13 October 2026 for an African Grand Prix in the early 2030s at a new circuit in Bugesera, about 40 kilometres south of Kigali — the continent's first race since Kyalami in 1993.

Key fact
Formula One and Rwanda announced a 10-year deal on 13 October 2026 for an African Grand Prix in the early 2030s at a new circuit in Bugesera, about 40 kilometres south of Kigali — the continent's first race since…
Key fact
Sports Minister Gayton McKenzie responded that Rwanda had 'not beaten us', saying South Africa was 'still looking at 2028/2029' for its own Grand Prix.
Key fact
At a joint briefing at Freedom Park in Pretoria on 14 October 2026, McKenzie and SAFA confirmed video assistant referee technology would not reach the Premier Soccer League soon, with trials instead planned in SAFA…
Key fact
The R20 million allocated to SAFA in March 2026 remains in a separate account, having accrued about R570,000 in interest, while SAFA's full implementation cost is estimated at more than R50 million over three years.

The three lenses

  • WestThe Western lens: a calendar completed, a bid footnoted Western and European coverage treated the Rwanda announcement primarily as the completion of Formula One's global map, with South Africa's bid as a footnote and Amnesty's 'sportswashing' criticism of the Kagame government as the obligatory counterweight. Its blind spot is accountability: the calendar story has little room for the minister who promised a race, or for the R20 million sitting in an account while a season proceeds without the technology it was meant to buy.
  • EastThe Eastern lens: the infrastructure race, seen from Asia East Asian coverage, led by Philippine and Indian outlets carrying the Associated Press account, framed the deal as a landmark for African sport and noted the drivers — Lewis Hamilton above all — who had campaigned for a race on the continent. Read from Asia, the sharper story is infrastructural: Rwanda is building a circuit and an airport together over ten years, while South Africa debates a bid for a circuit last used in 1993.
  • Global SouthThe Southern lens: told by the press that counts the money Southern reporting carried this story closest to the ground. South Africa's own press — the Daily Maverick's pattern-setting profile, EWN's and IOL's briefing-room detail, The Citizen's 'not beaten' headline — documented the ledger, the interest, the names of the certified referees and the exact quotes, because its readers are the ones who pay for and wait for these promises.

The consensus

Agreement

Rwanda will host an African Grand Prix from the early 2030s under a 10-year deal announced on 13 October 2026; South Africa's sports minister says his country's bid is not dead; and VAR will not reach the Premier Soccer League this season, with SAFA-run trials now planned for 2027.

Disagreement

Whether South Africa lost a contest or never entered one. McKenzie insists 'this is not a raffle' and that Africa can host several races; his critics read the Rwanda deal as the moment South Africa's bid was beaten, and read the VAR delay as a promise broken rather than rescheduled.

Unknown

Whether South Africa has any dated, funded path to a Grand Prix; when VAR will actually reach the Premiership; or what the full funding gap is once the league's operational costs are counted.

Read the full story
Johannesburg skyline at night
Johannesburg at night. South Africa's largest city is where the promises were made — and where the deadlines are now being counted. South African Tourism, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons
Advertisement

Key facts

  • Formula One and Rwanda announced a 10-year deal on 13 October 2026 for an African Grand Prix in the early 2030s at a new circuit in Bugesera, about 40 kilometres south of Kigali — the continent's first race since Kyalami in 1993. Al Jazeera (Oct 13, 2026)
  • Sports Minister Gayton McKenzie responded that Rwanda had 'not beaten us', saying South Africa was 'still looking at 2028/2029' for its own Grand Prix. Daily Maverick (Oct 25, 2026)
  • At a joint briefing at Freedom Park in Pretoria on 14 October 2026, McKenzie and SAFA confirmed video assistant referee technology would not reach the Premier Soccer League soon, with trials instead planned in SAFA competitions in 2027. IOL (Oct 14, 2026)
  • The R20 million allocated to SAFA in March 2026 remains in a separate account, having accrued about R570,000 in interest, while SAFA's full implementation cost is estimated at more than R50 million over three years. EWN (Oct 15, 2026)
  • McKenzie had promised VAR by April 2025; SAFA then missed its target of having the system ready for the start of the 2026/27 domestic season. Briefly (Oct 16, 2026)
  • South Africa's bid centred on Kyalami, which hosted the continent's last Grand Prix in 1993, after Cabinet approved the sports department's request to submit a bid. The Citizen (Oct 2026)

What two October weeks did to two flagship promises

Two announcements, 48 hours apart, reframed a ministry. On Tuesday 13 October 2026, in Kigali, Rwandan President Paul Kagame stood beside Formula One chief executive Stefano Domenicali and FIA president Mohammed Ben Sulayem to announce a 10-year deal: the Formula 1 African Grand Prix, presented by Visit Rwanda, will join the calendar in the early 2030s once a new FIA Grade 1 circuit at Bugesera, about 40 kilometres south of the capital, is complete. It is the continent's first Grand Prix since Kyalami in 1993, completing Formula One's footprint on every inhabited continent.

The next day, at Freedom Park in Pretoria, South Africa's Minister of Sport, Arts and Culture Gayton McKenzie faced the cameras alongside the South African Football Association — not to announce a delivery, but to hand one over. Video assistant referee technology, promised for April 2025, will not reach the Betway Premiership soon. Trials will come first, in SAFA competitions, in 2027. McKenzie, who had demanded the R20 million back in August, now says he has done his part. 'Rwanda has not beaten us,' he said of the Grand Prix. 'As South Africa we are still looking at 2028/2029.' Read how the continent's last Grand Prix chase began in our earlier coverage: Formula One's return to Africa.

What the record actually shows on VAR and Formula 1

The VAR ledger is now unusually well documented. The government allocated R20 million to SAFA in March 2026. After months of silence from the association, McKenzie demanded the money back in August and gave SAFA 21 days to account for it. SAFA submitted its report on 9 September 2026; McKenzie says he checked the bank statements himself and found the money intact. It has since accrued about R570,000 in interest, according to EWN's reporting from the briefing. The department will not insist on immediate repayment, instead attaching strengthened governance controls and reporting conditions.

The costs, however, have outgrown the allocation. SAFA chief executive Lydia Monyepao puts the association's implementation bill at more than R50 million over three years, with the league's operational costs still to be determined. Eight referees have trained through COSAFA, three of them — Abongile Tom, Luxolo Badi and Akhona Makalima — fully certified as VAR officials, and SAFA met FIFA on 15 October to seek approval for the next training phase. On Formula One, the facts are simpler: a 10-year Rwanda deal, a six-kilometre Bugesera circuit with 17 corners, and a South African bid, approved by Cabinet for Kyalami, that produced no date. McKenzie's own prediction, posted after the Rwanda announcement, is that South Africa will get a race 'even before 2030'.

What nobody can yet say about a South African race or a VAR date

For all the briefings, three questions remain unanswered. First, the VAR date: no one — not the minister, not SAFA — has given a date for the Premiership. The working targets are SAFA competitions and cup tournaments in 2027 — Nedbank Cup semi-finals or promotion-relegation playoffs mentioned as possibilities — subject to agreement from the league and broadcasters SuperSport, Canal+ and SABC on technical compatibility.

Advertisement

Second, the Grand Prix: McKenzie's '2028/2029' is a horizon, not a commitment. Formula One's announcement mentioned no South African race, and no new South African bid, date or circuit plan has been published since Kigali. Third, the money: with SAFA's bill above R50 million and the league's costs still uncounted, nobody has said where the balance comes from, or whether the R20 million already allocated survives as a down payment or a rounding error.

Why a minister's credibility is now the story

Sport in South Africa is not a sideshow; it is public money, public emotion and national branding at once. When a minister announces a Grand Prix or a refereeing revolution, clubs plan around it, referees train for it, fans expect it — and when the date slips, the cost is not only financial. The R20 million sat untouched for months while the season it was meant to serve began without VAR, and the debate it provoked — athletes and artists complaining about funding while millions sat in an account — is itself a measure of what announcements displace.

There is a wider African stakes too. Rwanda's deal is a bet that a new circuit, a new airport and a 10-year horizon can buy a country a place on the world sporting map. South Africa's bid was a bet that history — Kyalami, 1993, the last race — plus political will could do the same. One of those bets now has a contract. The other has a quote. Our coverage of the continent's sporting institutions shows the same tension between announcement and adjudication: the AFCON title dispute.

How the pattern formed: announcement first, delivery later

The Daily Maverick's profile of McKenzie, published on 25 October, gives the pattern a name: the gift of the gab. Its argument is that McKenzie's verbal fluency put him in power and keeps landing him in awkward spots, because he announces major events before official confirmation — Formula One, VAR, 'and so much more'. The record it assembles is specific. In March, the paper reports, McKenzie declared that six-year-old Joshlin Smith, missing since February 2024, was alive and that he would prove it; seven months later, it says, that proof remains absent, while her mother and two others were convicted in 2025 and jailed for life for kidnapping and child trafficking.

The sporting entries follow the same shape. A Paris Olympics trip criticised at R800,000; a promise to reimburse javelin medallist Jo-Ané van Dyk's family preparations, later withdrawn as a 'miscommunication'; about R31 million of department spending around the 2026 World Cup; R82 million paid to host LIV Golf in March, with a promise of its return next year. None of this makes McKenzie unusual — announcements are a political instrument everywhere — but the accumulation matters: when every promise is loud, every delay is audible. The counter-argument, which McKenzie himself makes, is that ambition is the job: 'I can't argue with people who have a minimalist mindset, a defeatist mindset, who say Africa must only get one Formula 1 race while the Middle East has four races, the US has three and Europe has nine.'

Where the delays land beyond the minister

The second-order effects start with the people who did the work. Eight referees trained, three certified, and still no league to officiate with VAR; their certification ages while the system waits on camera coverage, connectivity for remote operations and broadcaster compatibility. SAFA's own competitions become the laboratory instead — the Hollywoodbets Super League and ABC Motsepe League playoffs — which is sensible sequencing, but it also means the country's flagship league remains the last to benefit from a technology its minister championed.

Beyond football, the Rwanda deal rearranges the continent's sporting economy: a new circuit and airport at Bugesera, 100 million African fans claimed by Formula One, and a 10-year horizon give Kigali something Pretoria lacks: a dated contract. South Africa's sporting brand, meanwhile, absorbs a different kind of attention — the kind that comes from explaining why the money is safe rather than why the project is live. And inside the department, the funding debate McKenzie himself aired at the briefing lingers: asked why R20 million of state money should go to VAR while athletes complain about funding, he replied that the money 'was never budgeted for bread and butter issues. It was budgeted for VAR.' The inside story of South African sport's institutions runs deeper than one ministry: inside South Africa's sporting world.

What to watch before the next promise is tested

Three dates will test whether October was a reset or a pause. The first is SAFA's 15 October meeting with FIFA, which decides whether referee training proceeds to its next phase — the four-to-six-month pipeline behind any 2027 trials. The second is the 2027 trial window itself: whether SAFA competitions actually run VAR, and whether the Premiership and its broadcasters agree to the technical terms that have held it up.

The third is the Grand Prix. McKenzie's 'even before 2030' prediction now has a clock attached to it, and Rwanda's construction timetable at Bugesera will set the pace of the comparison. If South Africa produces a dated, funded bid — circuit plan, Grade 1 path, commercial case — the 'not beaten' claim becomes a programme. If it produces another quote, the pattern the Daily Maverick described gains its newest entry, and the next ministerial promise will be heard, by fans and federations alike, with the discount October applied.

The three lenses

West Lens:

The Western lens: a calendar completed, a bid footnoted Western and European coverage treated the Rwanda announcement primarily as the completion of Formula One's global map, with South Africa's bid as a footnote and Amnesty's 'sportswashing' criticism of the Kagame government as the obligatory counterweight. Its blind spot is accountability: the calendar story has little room for the minister who promised a race, or for the R20 million sitting in an account while a season proceeds without the technology it was meant to buy.

East Lens:

The Eastern lens: the infrastructure race, seen from Asia East Asian coverage, led by Philippine and Indian outlets carrying the Associated Press account, framed the deal as a landmark for African sport and noted the drivers — Lewis Hamilton above all — who had campaigned for a race on the continent. Read from Asia, the sharper story is infrastructural: Rwanda is building a circuit and an airport together over ten years, while South Africa debates a bid for a circuit last used in 1993. The East Asian lens, accustomed to state-led delivery timelines, would ask the question Pretoria has not yet answered: where is the construction schedule?

South Lens:

The Southern lens: told by the press that counts the money Southern reporting carried this story closest to the ground. South Africa's own press — the Daily Maverick's pattern-setting profile, EWN's and IOL's briefing-room detail, The Citizen's 'not beaten' headline — documented the ledger, the interest, the names of the certified referees and the exact quotes, because its readers are the ones who pay for and wait for these promises. The Southern reading is unsentimental: in a country where, as the Daily Maverick puts it, citizens are desperate for a saviour as living standards fall, a politician who knows what to say possesses real currency — until the dates come due.

The consensus

What we agree on
What we agree on: Rwanda will host an African Grand Prix from the early 2030s under a 10-year deal announced on 13 October 2026; South Africa's sports minister says his country's bid is not dead; and VAR will not reach the Premier Soccer League this season, with SAFA-run trials now planned for 2027.
What we don't agree on
What we disagree on: whether South Africa lost a contest or never entered one. McKenzie insists 'this is not a raffle' and that Africa can host several races; his critics read the Rwanda deal as the moment South Africa's bid was beaten, and read the VAR delay as a promise broken rather than rescheduled.
What we know
What we know: the R20 million for VAR is intact and earning interest; SAFA's full bill exceeds R50 million over three years; eight referees have trained through COSAFA and three are fully certified as VAR officials; and Kyalami last hosted a Grand Prix in 1993.
What we don't know yet
What we do not know: whether South Africa has any dated, funded path to a Grand Prix; when VAR will actually reach the Premiership; or what the full funding gap is once the league's operational costs are counted.
What we expect
What we expect: a FIFA meeting outcome on referee training, SAFA trials in its own competitions during 2027, and a further test of McKenzie's prediction that South Africa will secure a Grand Prix 'even before 2030'.

Questions, answered

What did Rwanda actually win from Formula One?

Rwanda secured a 10-year agreement, announced on 13 October 2026 in Kigali, for the Formula 1 African Grand Prix from the early 2030s. The race will run on a new purpose-built FIA Grade 1 circuit at Bugesera, about 40 kilometres south of Kigali near the new international airport, ending a 33-year absence of Formula One from Africa since Kyalami in 1993.

Why is VAR still not used in South Africa's top football league?

SAFA missed its target of having VAR ready for the start of the 2026/27 season. Its chief executive cites sustainable funding, camera coverage, connectivity for remote operations, broadcaster compatibility and equipment replacement. The R20 million allocated covers only part of a bill above R50 million over three years, and referee training needs four to six more months after FIFA approval.

What did Gayton McKenzie say after Rwanda won the Grand Prix?

McKenzie congratulated Rwanda, saying it had 'done the work' and applied years before he became minister, and insisted Rwanda had 'not beaten us'. He argued Africa should not be limited to one race while Europe hosts nine, said South Africa was 'still looking at 2028/2029', and predicted on social media that South Africa would get a Grand Prix 'even before 2030'.

What happens to the R20 million allocated for VAR?

The money stays with SAFA in a separate account, where it has accrued about R570,000 in interest. McKenzie demanded it back in August 2026 after months of silence, but after SAFA submitted its report on 9 September and he verified the bank statements, the department allowed the project to continue under strengthened governance controls and reporting requirements.

Sources

Loading the discussion…
Advertisement