Guatemala — Dossier militaire

MCB · 53/100 — La note Magna est notre composite 0–100 de la puissance nationale structurelle — cinq dimensions, plus de 100 indicateurs. C'est l'évaluation propre du Bureau, pas un miroir des chiffres de la Banque mondiale ou de la CIA.

Momentum 0 — Momentum trimestriel : la lecture du Bureau sur la trajectoire du pays au dernier trimestre, de −10 (dégradation rapide) à +10 (accélération).

Rien en juillet-septembre 2026 n'a fait bouger l'aiguille. Les institutions ont fonctionné, l'économie a suivi son cours, et le monde a regardé ailleurs.

C'est la note honnête : un trimestre de normalité, noté comme tel.

Army of Guatemala (Ejercito de Guatemala; aka Armed Forces of Guatemala or Fuerzas Armadas de Guatemala): Land Forces (Fuerzas de Tierra), Naval Forces (Fuerzas de Mar), and Air Force (Fuerza de Aire) (2025)

approximately 20,000 active Armed Forces (2025)

the military is lightly armed with an inventory mostly comprised of ageing US equipment; in recent years, the US has provided additional secondhand equipment (2025)

18-28 for voluntary service for men and women (17-21 for military schools); all Guatemalan men 18-49 are subject to selective compulsory service; service obligation is 12-24 months (2025)

180 Democratic Republic of the Congo (MONUSCO) (2025)

the military is responsible for maintaining the independence, sovereignty, territorial integrity, and the honor of Guatemala, but has long focused on internal security; since the 2000s, the Guatemalan Government has used the military to support the National Civil Police in internal security operations (as permitted by the constitution) to combat organized crime, gang violence, and narco-trafficking; other responsibilities include border security, cybersecurity, and providing humanitarian assistance; it also participates in UN missions on a small scale and has a peacekeeping operations training command that offers training to regional countries; the military has security ties with regional partners such as Brazil, Colombia, El Salvador, and Honduras; cooperation with El Salvador and Honduras has included a combined police-military anti-gang task force to patrol border areas; it also has ties with the US, including joint training exercises and material assistance the military held power during most of Guatemala’s 36-year civil war (1960-1996) and conducted a campaign of widespread violence and repression, particularly against the country’s majority indigenous population; more than 200,000 people were estimated to have been killed or disappeared during the conflict (2025)